According to the Drawdown methodology, the reduction potential of the agriculture and land use sector in Gelderland ranges from 0.298 to 2.549 Mton CO₂-eq in 2030. The lower bound belongs to a conservative scenario, the upper bound to a progressive implementation of nine modelled solutions. By comparison, the Gelderland Climate Plan formulates a reduction ambition of 1.3 to 2.2 Mton for this sector.
The range shows how strongly the result depends on the extent to which agriculture converts. The largest share of the upper bound comes from conservation and regenerative agriculture combined with a smaller livestock herd, supplemented by a more plant-rich diet. Because the plant-rich diet is a scope 3 solution that does not fully land within Gelderland, that share does not count towards the sector totals, which makes the tension between ambition and attributable effect visible. Source: Climate Action Recap Gelderland (agriculture and land use sector analysis), New Economy.